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Eastern Route Migration Scenarios for 2030

Cover photo: A group of young men walks along the road from Garowe to Bossaso. © IOM 2023
Tipo
Estudio
Región
África Oriental y el Cuerno de África , Medio Oriente y Norte de África
Organización
Organización Internacional para las Migraciones, Maastricht Graduate School of Governance, United Nations University (UNU)
Año
2023

Exploring plausible future migration scenarios can help decisionmakers formulate evidence-based assumptions about how, within a given migration scenario, migrants’ demand for return and reintegration assistance may change. Foresight approaches can provide important insights into how the future demand for voluntary return and reintegration assistance may evolve within plausible future migration scenarios and help stakeholders adapt their expectations, capacities and resources accordingly.

Therefore, the International Organization for Migration (IOM) commissioned a strategic foresight study, undertaken by UNU-MERIT/Maastricht University. The study aimed to develop plausible future migration scenarios to better understand how the need for AVRR assistance could evolve in West and Central Africa and East and Horn of Africa regions from now until 2030.