Eastern Route Migration Scenarios for 2030
Type
Study
Region
East Africa and the Horn of Africa,
Middle East and North Africa
Organization
International Organization for Migration (IOM),
Maastricht Graduate School of Governance,
United Nations University (UNU)
Year
2023
Language
English
Exploring plausible future migration scenarios can help decisionmakers formulate evidence-based assumptions about how, within a given migration scenario, migrants’ demand for return and reintegration assistance may change. Foresight approaches can provide important insights into how the future demand for voluntary return and reintegration assistance may evolve within plausible future migration scenarios and help stakeholders adapt their expectations, capacities and resources accordingly.
Therefore, the International Organization for Migration (IOM) commissioned a strategic foresight study, undertaken by UNU-MERIT/Maastricht University. The study aimed to develop plausible future migration scenarios to better understand how the need for AVRR assistance could evolve in West and Central Africa and East and Horn of Africa regions from now until 2030.
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